event detail

$COHR — long continuation

Primary-source AI datacenter optical order chatter verified by PR

PRIMARY_VERIFIEDLONG_CONTINUATIONDRAFT_READY

verdict

86 score

Current verdict: Verified optical/datacenter catalyst with strong tape; action draft waits for HOD reclaim or VWAP hold into close.

Trigger: HOD reclaim above $84.20

Invalidation: Loses VWAP on volume or PR shown recycled

Major risk: Move already extended into sector strength

tape

holding

price$83.42

move+8.4%

relvol6.8x

first seen08:04

evidence panel

id	type	source	time	status	exact excerpt
ev-pr-cohr-001	PRESS_RELEASE	Company IR	08:03	PRIMARY_VERIFIED	Company announced expanded datacenter optical module supply agreement.
ev-market-cohr-001	MARKET_SNAPSHOT	Alpaca mock	09:42	RAW	+8.4%, 6.8x relative volume, price holding above VWAP.

claim ledger

claim	type	status	confidence	exact support
Company announced an expanded datacenter optical supply agreement.cl-cohr-001	customer_win	VERIFIED	88%	expanded datacenter optical module supply agreement

positive scores

audit

news quality4/5

novelty4/5

tape4/5

flow3/5

squeeze2/5

risk scores

audit

crowding-1

supply0

valuation-1

main riskMove already extended into sector strength

trade plan

DRAFT_READY

Entry / trigger: HOD reclaim above $84.20

Stop: Loses VWAP on volume or PR shown recycled

Target 1: $89

Target 2: $96

Time horizon: 1H / 1D / 3D / 10D

scenario panel

scenario	prob	path	target	confirmation	invalidation	horizon
Fade	20%	Loses VWAP and retraces toward prior close.	-4% to -7%	VWAP loss with fading relative volume	Reclaims HOD with volume	1D
Continuation	45%	Holds VWAP and trends higher with sector confirmation.	+8% to +15%	HOD reclaim and strong close	Close below event-day midpoint	3D

telegram draft

evidence label required

$COHR — LONG_CONTINUATION
Evidence: PRIMARY_VERIFIED
Event: Verified optical/datacenter catalyst with strong tape; action draft waits for HOD reclaim or VWAP hold into close.
Move: +8.4% | RelVol: 6.8x | VWAP: holding

Entry/Trigger: HOD reclaim above $84.20
Stop/Invalidation: Loses VWAP on volume or PR shown recycled
Targets: $89, $96
Main risk: Move already extended into sector strength
Dashboard: /events/evt-verified-long

red-team

mvp 0

Strongest reason not to trade: Move already extended into sector strength

Check whether catalyst is recycled, already priced, or contradicted.

Supply and crowding risks must remain visible in Telegram.

fundamental guardrail

mvp 0

Base card: mock / pending persistence.

Valuation risk: -1

Supply risk: 0

postmortem

mvp 0

Return 15m / 1h / EOD / 1D / 3D / 10D pending.

MFE/MAE pending.

Outcome label pending after signal lifecycle.

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